
Netherlands
Storyline. Always the team that wins their group at major tournaments — quarter-finalists at Qatar 2022 and Euro 2024 semi-finalists. Generation built around Virgil van Dijk and the Liverpool spine.
Key player. Cody Gakpo — the Liverpool forward has become the goal-scoring leader of the national team.
Prediction. Group winner is the median; semi-final the ceiling.

Japan
Storyline. Tournament-after-tournament progressive evolution. Qatar 2022 saw famous wins over Germany and Spain. Coach Hajime Moriyasu has the deepest European-based squad in Asian football history.
Key player. Takefusa Kubo — the Real Sociedad winger has matured into the creative leader of the side.
Prediction. Second place is the median; a Round-of-16 win would equal Japan's best ever men's World Cup result.

Sweden
Storyline. Back after missing 2022 with a new generation around Alexander Isak and Anthony Elanga. The first major tournament without Ibrahimović or Forsberg as the central figure.
Key player. Alexander Isak — the Newcastle striker is one of the most complete centre-forwards in the Premier League.
Prediction. Third place is the median; a best-third path is in play.

Tunisia
Storyline. Sixth World Cup appearance for the Eagles of Carthage. Heavy reliance on European-born and Ligue 1-based players in a 4-2-3-1 designed to frustrate.
Key player. Hannibal Mejbri — the Manchester United-developed midfielder is the tactical hinge of the system.
Prediction. Bottom of the group is the median expectation — a point against Sweden is the realistic ceiling.